logo
悉尼 icon
icon 悉尼 icon
新闻与资讯
Australian property demand forecast for the next 20 years: Melbourne and Sydney may become hotspots
Australian property demand forecast for the next 20 years: Melbourne and Sydney may become hotspots 悉尼
By   Internet
  • 都市报
  • Australian Property
  • Housing Supply
  • Housing Market Forecast
Abstract: Analyses from Informed Decisions, a subsidiary of PEXA, suggest that the demand for real estate in Australia will surge in the four most populous states over the next 20 years.

The national population is expected to reach 7.4 million, with Victoria projected to increase by 2 million, leading the growth in population. New South Wales is expected to add 1.7 million residents, Queensland 1.6 million, and Western Australia 904,000.


The real estate markets in these states are expected to benefit from robust population growth, which could support an increase in property prices. Population growth is representative of both rental and purchasing demands, making it a fundamental driver for rising house prices, provided there is an appropriate supply response.


Melbourne is projected to experience a population growth of 1.6 million over the same period, surpassing Sydney's anticipated growth of 1.2 million. Brisbane's population is expected to increase by 974,000, while Perth is projected to add 979,000 residents.


Forecasts suggest that the western, southeastern, and inner-city areas of Melbourne will experience the strongest population growth, adding nearly 1 million residents over the next 20 years. This growth accounts for 46% of the total population increase in Victoria and will require an additional 422,000 housing units. Population growth is concentrated in certain localities such as Truganina, Mickleham, and Cranbourne South.

Australian property demand forecast for the next 20 years: Melbourne and Sydney may become hotspots

In Sydney, the southwest, Blacktown, Parramatta, and the inner city are expected to see the most robust population growth over the next 20 years. An additional 572,000 people are expected to move into these areas, necessitating an increase of 267,000 housing units.


According to Arjun Paliwal, the research director at InvestorKit, due to the increasing demand from strong population growth and subdued performances in the past few years, the time for Melbourne's property prices to stabilize and rise in the medium to long term has matured.


He believes that investors should focus on cities with a strong history of growth, such as Melbourne, as lower property price growth can actually be a good sign.


In the face of the challenge of skyrocketing housing demand in Australia over the next 20 years, increasing housing supply is crucial. Melbourne is estimated to need 723,000 housing units, Sydney 582,000, Brisbane an additional 381,000, and Perth 334,000.


To meet the housing demand brought by population growth, new housing supply is expected to be built in Riverstone, Penrith, Leppington, Campbelltown, Gilead, Parramatta in Melbourne, and in the Sydney central business district.


However, simply increasing housing supply is not enough to solve the problem. Affordability and sustainable development issues also need to be addressed.


Governments and relevant stakeholders should take measures to promote diversification in housing supply, including providing medium-sized and affordable housing and rental properties. Furthermore, urban planning and infrastructure development should be aligned with population growth to ensure residents can enjoy a good quality of life.

留言
icon
请输入您的国籍
+87
不能为空
电子邮件地址无效 电子邮件地址未验证!
icon
欢迎访问 House.com
登录或注册以充分利用您的体验。这也将增加您与经纪人交流的机会。
请输入有效的电子邮件地址。
继续使用 Google
提交即表示我接受House.com的   使用条款
icon icon
验证您的电子邮件
你好 我们刚刚将验证码发送到您的电子邮件中。请检查并在此处输入验证码以继续登录。
验证码错误
没有收到电子邮件?请检查您的垃圾邮件文件夹
icon
banner
Australian property demand forecast for the next 20 years: Melbourne and Sydney may become hotspots
icon 复制链接
icon WhatsApp
icon Facebook
icon Twitter